The world's population and flu cases
| World Population (current) | 7,800,000,000 |
|---|---|
| World Population 2019 | 7,577,130,400 |
| Flu Cases 2019 (10%) | 757,713,040 |
| Flu Deaths (max est.) | 650,000 |
| Flu CFR (Case Fatality Rate) | 0.08% (total deaths / total cases) |
Here we estimate the numbers for the current pandemic
| Country |
|---|
| Total population for "ALL" | |
|---|---|
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Estimated COVID cases
The percentage of population that we contract the virus before herd immunity is built. (this part of population is not reflected in any statistics unless tested later on) |
% () = |
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Estimated Asymptomatic cases
The percentage of infected population that will not show symptoms or get critical |
% () = |
|
Estimated Symptomatic cases
The percentage of infected population that shows symptoms and/or gets critical. (so far all CFR statistics are based on symptomatic cases) |
|
| Symptomatic cases so far | () |
| Estimated Total cases so far (asym) | |
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Estimated Deaths with CFR
The calculated (estimated) number of deaths based on the actual symptomatic cases and the current CFR |
per cases |
CFR is defined as the Case Fatality Rate: (Total Deaths / Total Cases). However since a patient, on average, dies betwen 1-2 weeks after having contracted COVID-19, we cannot simply use the current numbers for the day.
As such, the death statistic for today was a case statistic 1-2 weeks ago. Thus we get a more accurate representation for the CFR.
Moreover we assume that the number of reported cases is much less due to the presence of aysymptomatic cases. As such, we increase the total cases by the selected asymptomatic cases percentage defined above.
As per the data below the prevailing CFR is between - as of
| Date | Cases | Cases (asymp.) | Deaths | CFR | 1week CFR (asymp) | 2week CFR (asymp) |
|---|